2018년 2월 5일 월요일

[발췌] The Economic Effects of Granting Legal Status and Citizenship to Undocumented Immigrants (2013)


출처: Robert Lynch and Patrick Oakford. "The Economic Effects of Granting Legal Status and Citizenship to Undocumented Immigrants," Center for American Progress, Mar 2013.

※ 발췌 (exceprt):

10-year projections of the economic gains from immigration reform

Applying our 25.1 percent citizenship effect on the income of the undocumented, we project the economic gains from immigration reform under three scenarios.

The first and most politically unlikely scenario─but one that is nonetheless useful for comparison purposes─assumes that legal status and citizenship are both conferred on the undocumented in 2013. The second scenario assumes that the unauthorized are provided legal status in 2013 and citizenship five years thereafter. The third scenario assumes that the unauthorized are granted legal status starting in 2013 but that they are not given a road map to citizenship.

Under the first scenario—both legal status and citizenship in 2013—U.S. GDP would grow by an additional $1.4 trillion cumulatively ( ... ... )

Under the second scenario—legal status in 2013 followed by citizenship five years thereafter—the 10-year cumulative increase in the economy of the United States would be $1.1 trillion ( ... ... )

Finally, under the third scenario—legal status only starting in 2013—the cumulative gain in U.S. GDP between 2013 and 2022 would be a more modest $832 billion. ( ... ... )

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